Weekly Market Intelligence

US Indices
Weekly Report

A comprehensive overview of US equity markets, key macro events, sector rotation, and earnings — curated for Equiti clients. Week ending March 12, 2026.

S&P 500
−1.52%
▼ −103.18 pts day / New 2026 Low
Close: 6,672.62 | Day change: −103.18 pts
Lowest close of 2026. Oil shock catalyst.
NASDAQ 100
−1.49%
▼ −372.93 pts day | Tech selloff
Close: 24,592.08 | Day change: −372.93 pts
Tech mega-caps lead losses amid energy shock.
Dow Jones
−1.56%
▼ −739.4 pts | Below 47,000
Close: 46,677.85 | First close below 47,000 in 2026
GS −4.47%, Boeing −4.29%, 3M −3.91%
Russell 2000
−1.93%
▼ −49.1 pts | Small cap pressure
Close: 2,493.81 | Day change: −49.1 pts
Small caps hit hard alongside large cap selloff.
VIX
24.23
▲ Elevated volatility
VIX 24.23 — moderate-to-high fear zone
Fear & Greed Index: 23 (Extreme Fear)
Scroll to explore ↓
Weekly Scorecard

Index Performance

Week-over-week returns, YTD figures, and relative momentum across all major US indices. Data as of March 12, 2026 close.

Index Close Price Day Change WoW YTD 52W High 52W Low Momentum Bar Signal
S&P 500
Large Cap Blend
6,672.62 −1.52% −2.8% −4.2% 6,973.22 5,119.26
Bearish
NASDAQ 100
Tech / Mega-Cap Growth
24,592.08 −1.49% −4.1% −7.3% 26,182.10 16,542.20
Bearish
Dow Jones
Blue Chip 30
46,677.85 −1.56% −2.4% −3.5% 48,462.21 37,122.95
Bearish
Russell 2000
Small Cap
2,493.81 −1.93% −3.2% −8.1% 2,802.05 1,996.21
Bearish
Technical Levels

Support & Resistance

Key technical price levels for the major US indices. Levels based on prior swing highs/lows, Fibonacci retracements, and moving averages as of March 12, 2026.

S&P 500
R36,973
R26,870
R16,780
Close6,672.62
S16,600
S26,490
S36,350
NASDAQ 100
R326,182
R225,500
R125,000
Close24,592.08
S124,200
S223,600
S322,800
Dow Jones
R348,500
R247,800
R147,200
Close46,677.85
S146,200
S245,500
S344,800
Russell 2000
R32,700
R22,620
R12,550
Close2,493.81
S12,450
S22,380
S32,300
Sector Rotation

S&P 500 Sector Heatmap

Weekly performance by sector. Energy surged on geopolitical oil shock while Technology and Financials led losses. Hover for details.

Sector Breakdown — Week of March 10–12
Investor Psychology

Market Sentiment

A multi-factor read on current market psychology — fear vs. greed, breadth, and positioning. Readings as of March 12, 2026.

CNN Fear & Greed Index
0
EXTREME FEAR
Previous week: 35 (Fear) | Oil shock worsened
Market Breadth
Advancing Stocks34%
Above 50-day MA39%
Above 200-day MA44%
New 52W Highs22
Put/Call Ratio1.34
Institutional Positioning
🔻 Hedge Funds Cutting Longs
Net long exposure dropped from 48% to 39% week-on-week. Energy the only sector seeing inflows. Largest de-risking since Q4 2024.
⚠️ Retail Flows Defensive
Retail rotating into Energy, Utilities, and Consumer Staples. Trimming Tech and growth exposure aggressively on oil shock fears.
📉 CTAs Net Short SPX
Trend-following CTAs extended short positioning on S&P 500 futures. A reclaim of 6,800 would trigger forced short-covering rally.
🐂 Bullish Catalysts
CPI Inflation In-Line
Feb CPI printed 2.4% headline, 2.5% core — exactly in-line with estimates. Disinflation trend intact before the oil shock, giving the Fed room to act if needed.
Earnings Season Beat Rate
77% of S&P 500 companies beat Q4 EPS estimates — the highest beat rate in 5 quarters. Blended earnings growth: +14.2% YoY.
AI Capital Expenditure Surge
Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon collectively guided $320B+ in 2026 AI capex. Semiconductors and cloud infrastructure remain structural beneficiaries.
Labor Earnings AI Capex Fed Pause
🐻 Bearish Headwinds
Strait of Hormuz Crisis
Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz sent WTI to $94.49, up 8.3% on the day. Geopolitical risk premium surged, crushing risk appetite globally.
Stagflation Risk Reignited
Oil at $94+ reignites inflation fears despite Feb CPI printing in-line (2.4% headline, 2.5% core). Q4 GDP at just 1.4% and Feb NFP at −92,000 jobs confirms the stagflation scenario.
Great Sector Rotation
Capital fleeing Tech to Energy and Old Economy in a historic rotation. NASDAQ 100 down −7.3% YTD vs. XLE up double digits — sharpest divergence since 2022.
Oil Shock Geopolitics Inflation Tech Selloff
Macro Events

Economic Calendar

Key data releases and central bank events for the week of Mar 10–14, 2026. Hover for impact detail.

High Impact Medium Impact Low Impact
Corporate Results

Earnings Calendar

Key earnings this week. Adobe (ADBE) reported record Q1 revenue of $6.40B after the close on Wed — a strong beat despite the selloff. Dollar General (DG) beat EPS Thursday morning but stock fell −7% on cautious 2026 guidance. Hover chips for actual results.

☀️ BO = Before Open  ·  🌙 AC = After Close
Nasdaq 100 — Top Holdings Weight
% index weight — all under pressure this week
Source: As of March 10, 2026
Macro Snapshot

Key Macro Indicators

Real-time pulse on the US economy — rates, commodities, and key macro reads as of March 12, 2026.

Fed Funds Rate
4.25–4.50%
▬ Unchanged — 3rd consecutive hold
Next FOMC: Mar 18–19, 2026. Oil shock complicates rate cut path.
10Y Treasury Yield
4.25%
▼ −8bp this week — flight to safety
2Y: 3.98% | Curve: +27bp. Bonds rallying on recession fears despite oil shock.
CPI (Feb YoY) / Core CPI
2.4% / 2.5%
▬ In-line — Feb reading released Mar 12
Headline 2.4% (est. 2.4%), Core 2.5% (est. 2.5%). As expected — but oil shock stole the narrative.
US GDP Growth (Q4 '25)
1.4%
▼ Below 2.5% estimate — economy weakening
Full-year 2025 GDP: 2.2%. GDPNow Q1 2026 estimate: +0.8% (sharply slowing)
WTI Crude Oil
$94.49
▲ +8.3% on day — Strait of Hormuz crisis
WTI hit intraday high $119.48 on Mar 9 before settling. Historic weekly surge on geopolitical risk.
Gold (XAU/USD)
$5,127
▲ +3.1% this week — safe haven bid
New all-time high above $5,100. Flight to safety amid geopolitical crisis and equity selloff.
DXY (USD Index)
99.66
▼ −0.43% — dollar weakening
USD slipping on weak GDP, poor NFP data. Below key 100 level.
Unemployment Rate
4.4%
▲ Up from 4.3% (Feb NFP: −92,000)
Shocking jobs miss — first negative NFP since Dec 2020. Labor market deteriorating.
Looking Forward

Week Ahead — Mar 17–21, 2026

Key catalysts and events on the radar that could determine whether markets stabilize or extend the selloff.

🏦
FOMC Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision March 19. Consensus expects a hold at 4.25–4.50%. Chair Powell's press conference at 14:30 ET is the key event — markets will parse every word on the oil shock, inflation trajectory, and any shift in the rate cut timeline.
Very High Impact
🛢️
Strait of Hormuz Developments
Geopolitical headlines around the Iran-US conflict and the status of the Strait of Hormuz will dominate oil price direction. Any de-escalation signal would spark a sharp relief rally. Further closure risks could send WTI beyond $100.
Very High Impact
📊
Retail Sales & Industrial Production
Feb retail sales (Mar 17) will test consumer resilience under energy price pressure. Jan's −0.9% decline was a warning shot. Industrial production data will also shed light on manufacturing health in an oil-shocked environment.
Medium Impact